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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33460204060804916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8427
#11
16.41.3
9.711.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End6.3
red by 1.2
5577
#12
15.22.9
16.013.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End5.1
Second
2048
#27
11.31.3
13.815.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
red by 2.0
4854
#28
9.32.9
15.612.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Third
5197
#37
8.51.3
8.910.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.3
blue by 0.7
9253
#39
9.22.9
10.17.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed