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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6252204080100517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
38.50.6
19.919.2
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 25.5
5467
#17
13.04.8
18.213.4
Auto1.2
Teleop6.2
End5.7
Second
9207
#24
21.30.4
19.519.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End8.5
red by 9.3
7597
#30
12.04.8
16.611.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End5.6
Third
4768
#26
8.90.6
17.416.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End4.0
red by 0.4
5197
#37
8.54.8
15.110.4
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed