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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724202060801001201405031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.3
43.642.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End9.8
red by 23.1
6029
#19
20.60.8
18.617.8
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End6.7
Second
9253
#39
9.21.3
9.88.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.4
End7.6
blue by 2.2
2048
#27
11.31.2
15.914.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.2
Third
4768
#26
8.91.3
10.18.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End4.0
red by 2.9
1528
#34
6.01.2
8.87.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed