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Red88
47688.9
118947.0
506515.0
Blue96
309621.1
842716.4
353938.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080908896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.5
45.546.9
Auto13.8
Teleop25.4
End7.8
red by 8.7
38.22.6
34.136.6
Auto13.3
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
5065
#15
15.01.2
11.212.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End7.0
blue by 6.1
3096
#14
21.12.6
18.821.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.7
End3.9
Third
4768
#26
8.91.5
8.49.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End4.0
blue by 7.5
8427
#11
16.42.6
11.714.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned