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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625102040801001205921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
32.50.2
30.430.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.0
End8.3
red by 12.3
8280
#18
20.22.7
23.821.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End6.2
Second
5577
#12
15.20.2
16.616.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End5.1
red by 2.2
5467
#17
13.02.9
15.012.1
Auto1.2
Teleop6.2
End5.7
Third
5197
#37
8.50.2
9.69.8
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.3
red by 2.5
1528
#34
6.02.7
10.37.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed