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Red131
602920.6
118947.0
776943.7
Blue114
21738.5
46936.4
555517.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120966080140160180131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.5
46.346.8
Auto13.8
Teleop25.4
End7.8
red by 8.5
217
#4
38.50.3
38.638.8
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End5.7
Second
43.70.5
43.143.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End9.8
red by 7.3
469
#2
36.40.3
36.536.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End8.2
Third
6029
#19
20.60.5
20.020.4
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 3.0
5555
#22
17.60.3
17.718.0
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End8.5