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Red78
555517.6
46936.4
21738.5
Blue98
353938.2
22629.9
920721.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101894060801201401607898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
38.50.3
38.838.5
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 0.2
38.20.3
36.737.0
Auto13.3
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
469
#2
36.40.3
36.736.4
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End8.2
red by 6.5
226
#5
29.90.3
28.328.6
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End8.3
Third
5555
#22
17.60.3
18.017.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End8.5
blue by 3.7
9207
#24
21.30.3
19.720.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End8.5