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Red44
557715.2
309621.1
549817.6
Blue63
842716.4
656718.6
828020.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5959405070804463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#14
21.10.4
21.421.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.7
End3.9
red by 0.9
8280
#18
20.20.2
20.320.4
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End6.2
Second
5498
#21
17.60.4
18.017.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 1.0
6567
#13
18.60.2
18.718.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End9.3
Third
5577
#12
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End5.1
blue by 1.2
8427
#11
16.40.2
16.516.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End6.3