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Red86
555517.6
46936.4
21738.5
Blue79
353938.2
22629.9
920721.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028640601201401608679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
38.50.2
38.738.6
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 0.2
38.20.1
35.935.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
469
#2
36.40.2
36.636.5
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End8.2
red by 6.5
226
#5
29.90.1
27.627.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End8.3
Third
5555
#22
17.60.2
17.917.7
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End8.5
blue by 3.7
9207
#24
21.30.1
19.018.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End8.5