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Red50
634513.6
437520.9
771315.8
Blue42
663730.2
715416.6
482714.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546202040801001205042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#13
20.90.2
21.321.1
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End5.4
blue by 9.3
30.21.7
25.323.6
Auto11.8
Teleop11.4
End7.1
Second
7713
#31
15.80.2
14.013.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End5.2
blue by 0.8
7154
#19
16.61.7
15.914.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.9
Third
6345
#27
13.60.2
16.216.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End4.6
blue by 0.8
4827
#30
14.41.7
16.014.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed