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Red46
838220.7
655814.2
483522.3
Blue63
725021.6
553420.1
437520.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53660204060801001204663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4835
#14
22.31.9
17.115.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 0.7
21.60.3
19.419.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Second
8382
#29
20.71.9
17.415.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End6.1
blue by 0.2
4375
#13
20.90.3
21.621.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End5.4
Third
6558
#38
14.21.9
16.614.7
Auto0.4
Teleop11.1
End2.7
blue by 5.9
5534
#15
20.10.3
19.319.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed