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Red85
655814.2
924922.4
663730.2
Blue49
571412.3
724421.0
548616.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545130406070808549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.23.9
24.928.7
Auto11.8
Teleop11.4
End7.1
red by 9.2
7244
#33
21.00.1
19.819.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Second
9249
#12
22.43.9
12.416.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End8.0
red by 5.7
5486
#22
16.80.1
11.111.1
Auto2.0
Teleop8.1
End6.6
Third
6558
#38
14.23.9
13.016.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 1.9
5714
#37
12.30.1
17.517.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsEarned