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Red28
608816.5
482714.4
258620.9
Blue77
715416.6
85748.5
437614.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565630405060702877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#17
20.93.3
19.816.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
blue by 27.6
857
#1
48.52.8
29.932.7
Auto16.2
Teleop22.4
End9.9
Second
6088
#34
16.53.3
15.612.4
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End4.7
blue by 0.1
7154
#19
16.62.8
10.613.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.9
Third
4827
#30
14.43.3
17.113.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End6.8
red by 0.3
4376
#36
14.12.8
11.714.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned