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Red100
656926.6
482714.4
553420.1
Blue58
778232.8
570614.9
571412.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6259020408010010058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.61.7
21.920.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
blue by 6.2
32.80.3
22.622.8
Auto13.0
Teleop14.3
End5.4
Second
5534
#15
20.11.7
22.020.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.8
red by 5.2
5706
#32
14.90.3
15.315.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End8.4
Third
4827
#30
14.41.7
13.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End6.8
red by 2.1
5714
#37
12.30.3
17.617.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned