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Red70
607916.2
607719.8
924922.4
Blue56
437614.1
611219.2
663730.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47650204060801007056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9249
#12
22.42.0
17.819.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End8.0
blue by 7.8
30.21.4
28.627.1
Auto11.8
Teleop11.4
End7.1
Second
6077
#16
19.82.0
14.816.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 0.6
6112
#23
19.21.4
16.414.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Third
6079
#21
16.22.0
14.016.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End7.1
red by 2.1
4376
#36
14.11.4
13.812.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed