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Red80
607719.8
317543.2
360216.9
Blue30
521314.7
782611.7
607916.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8236020601001208030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.5
38.038.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.0
End10.5
red by 27.0
6079
#21
16.21.0
16.015.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End7.1
Second
6077
#16
19.80.5
16.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 5.1
5213
#35
14.71.0
12.811.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End6.6
Third
3602
#24
16.90.5
16.016.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.9
red by 5.1
7826
#28
11.71.0
10.49.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed