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Red45
483522.3
771315.8
498815.2
Blue28
634513.6
571412.3
611219.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485130406070804528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4835
#14
22.30.1
20.220.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 3.1
6112
#23
19.22.2
14.912.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
7713
#31
15.80.1
11.411.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End5.2
red by 2.2
6345
#27
13.62.2
15.112.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End4.6
Third
4988
#18
15.20.1
14.214.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End5.6
red by 2.8
5714
#37
12.32.2
17.615.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed