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Red64
360216.9
437520.9
482714.4
Blue73
607719.8
548616.8
656926.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801006473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#13
20.90.9
17.418.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End5.4
blue by 5.7
26.62.0
23.825.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
Second
3602
#24
16.90.9
16.417.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.9
blue by 2.9
6077
#16
19.82.0
17.319.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Third
4827
#30
14.40.9
12.012.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 2.3
5486
#22
16.82.0
12.414.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed