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Red56
782611.7
838220.7
607719.8
Blue40
521314.7
724421.0
715416.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445920801005640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8382
#29
20.71.2
15.717.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End6.1
blue by 0.3
7244
#33
21.01.3
20.619.3
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Second
6077
#16
19.81.2
19.320.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 3.2
7154
#19
16.61.3
19.017.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.9
Third
7826
#28
11.71.2
8.19.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End5.2
blue by 3.0
5213
#35
14.71.3
14.212.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed