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Red89
360216.9
57332.5
771315.8
Blue125
550537.1
608816.5
85748.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519502040608012014016089125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#10
32.52.7
27.530.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.9
blue by 16.0
857
#1
48.52.8
40.243.0
Auto16.2
Teleop22.4
End9.9
Second
3602
#24
16.92.7
14.917.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.9
blue by 20.2
37.12.8
30.132.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Third
7713
#31
15.82.7
11.013.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End5.2
blue by 0.7
6088
#34
16.52.8
13.115.9
Auto1.9
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned