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Red42
776820.7
498815.2
570614.9
Blue77
483522.3
607719.8
437520.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57642040801001204277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7768
#26
20.71.0
21.020.0
Auto11.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 1.5
4835
#14
22.31.5
20.722.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Second
4988
#18
15.21.0
17.916.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End5.6
blue by 5.8
4375
#13
20.91.5
17.819.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End5.4
Third
5706
#32
14.91.0
15.514.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End8.4
blue by 4.9
6077
#16
19.81.5
20.421.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned