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Red72
782611.7
483522.3
258620.9
Blue58
570614.9
521314.7
655814.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001207258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4835
#14
22.31.5
22.123.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 7.4
5706
#32
14.90.4
14.514.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End8.4
Second
2586
#17
20.91.5
19.821.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
red by 6.2
5213
#35
14.70.4
14.314.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End6.6
Third
7826
#28
11.71.5
10.211.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End5.2
blue by 2.5
6558
#38
14.20.4
13.814.2
Auto0.4
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed