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Red32
776820.7
439229.5
258620.9
Blue54
725021.6
531425.7
498815.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816640601001203254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.9
30.429.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End6.4
red by 3.8
5314
#11
25.70.3
26.225.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End5.0
Second
2586
#17
20.90.9
21.820.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
blue by 0.7
21.60.3
22.121.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Third
7768
#26
20.70.9
21.720.7
Auto11.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3
red by 5.6
4988
#18
15.20.3
15.715.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End5.6