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Red103
607916.2
778232.8
57332.5
Blue77
725021.6
531425.7
498815.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846520406010012014010377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.6
31.031.6
Auto13.0
Teleop14.3
End5.4
red by 7.1
5314
#11
25.70.3
26.126.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End5.0
Second
573
#10
32.50.6
30.731.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End5.9
red by 10.9
21.60.3
22.022.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End7.5
Third
6079
#21
16.20.6
14.415.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End7.1
red by 1.0
4988
#18
15.20.3
15.515.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End5.6