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Red89
715416.6
663730.2
656926.6
Blue90
258620.9
439229.5
776820.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797702040601001201401608990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.3
30.430.7
Auto11.8
Teleop11.4
End7.1
red by 0.8
29.50.3
29.930.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Second
26.60.3
26.727.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End6.1
red by 5.7
2586
#17
20.90.3
21.321.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End6.9
Third
7154
#19
16.60.3
16.717.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End5.9
blue by 4.2
7768
#26
20.70.3
21.121.4
Auto11.0
Teleop7.4
End2.3