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Red72
437733.3
205440.4
861113.5
Blue103
191836.6
705426.5
335749.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6488020408010012014072103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.0
27.228.3
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
blue by 8.9
49.32.6
31.734.3
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
Second
33.31.0
23.724.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End7.7
blue by 3.3
36.62.6
28.831.4
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
Third
8611
#33
13.51.0
11.812.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.8
End4.4
blue by 13.0
7054
#14
26.52.6
19.021.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned