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Red44
610020.9
277121.7
839713.7
Blue27
861113.5
716036.0
715514.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65622040801004427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#19
21.71.8
25.123.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End5.8
blue by 14.3
7160
#25
36.04.1
25.821.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.4
End8.7
Second
6100
#30
20.91.8
20.919.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.3
red by 6.8
7155
#16
14.14.1
17.113.0
Auto1.1
Teleop6.6
End6.4
Third
8397
#38
13.71.8
14.212.4
Auto1.1
Teleop8.5
End4.1
red by 0.2
8611
#33
13.54.1
15.911.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed