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Red74
781815.0
705426.5
608143.8
Blue78
722620.7
171124.9
335749.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608220401001207478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.7
23.725.4
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
blue by 5.4
49.30.5
34.334.7
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
Second
7054
#14
26.51.7
21.623.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.0
red by 1.5
1711
#15
24.90.5
21.922.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
7818
#40
15.01.7
13.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End4.2
blue by 5.8
7226
#23
20.70.5
17.718.2
Auto9.6
Teleop6.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed