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Red73
376736.7
368832.0
516211.2
Blue43
861217.4
722620.7
323426.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7255204060801001207343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.8
31.832.6
Auto7.5
Teleop21.1
End8.1
red by 10.4
3234
#11
26.41.2
18.317.1
Auto10.6
Teleop8.3
End7.5
Second
3688
#17
32.00.8
21.822.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.4
End6.1
red by 11.3
7226
#23
20.71.2
18.817.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.3
End4.8
Third
5162
#32
11.20.8
12.112.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End4.0
blue by 6.2
8612
#20
17.41.2
16.415.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned