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Red93
323426.4
608143.8
675328.5
Blue59
522714.0
610020.9
687722.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775620401009359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.82.1
28.330.4
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 21.4
6877
#37
22.40.4
21.722.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End7.0
Second
6753
#13
28.52.1
24.626.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End8.7
red by 7.6
6100
#30
20.90.4
22.523.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.3
Third
3234
#11
26.42.1
16.518.6
Auto10.6
Teleop8.3
End7.5
red by 12.4
5227
#35
14.00.4
10.711.2
Auto9.3
Teleop1.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed