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Red81
205440.4
791113.5
423723.9
Blue87
716036.0
781815.0
612219.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65582040801008187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.4
31.333.7
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
red by 4.3
7160
#25
36.03.0
27.530.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.4
End8.7
Second
4237
#22
23.92.4
17.519.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End8.8
red by 4.9
6122
#29
19.03.0
14.917.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
7911
#36
13.52.4
10.913.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.3
blue by 1.5
7818
#40
15.03.0
13.116.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed