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Red118
496730.2
335749.3
687722.4
Blue90
839713.7
587819.7
376736.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045620408012014016011890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.32.2
47.449.6
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
red by 12.6
36.73.2
35.538.8
Auto7.5
Teleop21.1
End8.1
Second
4967
#18
30.22.2
22.224.4
Auto8.0
Teleop14.3
End7.9
red by 10.5
5878
#31
19.73.2
14.617.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End7.6
Third
6877
#37
22.42.2
22.224.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End7.0
red by 8.7
8397
#38
13.73.2
8.611.8
Auto1.1
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned