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Red101
608143.8
437733.3
910614.9
Blue53
791113.5
861217.4
516211.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82390206010012010153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.83.0
30.433.4
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 26.4
8612
#20
17.40.1
16.316.4
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Second
33.33.0
30.133.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End7.7
red by 19.9
7911
#36
13.50.1
13.313.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.3
Third
9106
#21
14.93.0
11.114.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End7.5
red by 3.8
5162
#32
11.20.1
12.512.6
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed