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Red64
368832.0
587819.7
791113.5
Blue69
675328.5
603320.2
720228.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66852040601001201406469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#17
32.00.4
32.331.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.4
End6.1
red by 3.5
6753
#13
28.50.6
28.627.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End8.7
Second
5878
#31
19.70.5
18.418.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End7.6
blue by 8.6
7202
#10
28.30.6
28.327.7
Auto10.9
Teleop13.4
End3.9
Third
7911
#36
13.50.4
13.913.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.3
blue by 6.7
6033
#24
20.20.7
20.720.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed