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Red53
687722.4
791113.5
839713.7
Blue100
542430.2
522714.0
705426.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45750206010012053100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6877
#37
22.40.6
20.921.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End7.0
blue by 7.8
5424
#27
30.23.0
28.031.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.1
End5.2
Second
8397
#38
13.70.6
11.211.8
Auto1.1
Teleop8.5
End4.1
blue by 12.8
7054
#14
26.53.0
27.530.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.5
End7.0
Third
7911
#36
13.50.6
14.214.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.3
blue by 0.5
5227
#35
14.03.2
10.914.1
Auto9.3
Teleop1.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned