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Red82
360328.4
368832.0
610020.9
Blue53
423723.9
508629.7
587819.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66622030405080901008253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#17
32.01.7
21.823.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.4
End6.1
red by 2.3
5086
#28
29.70.6
25.524.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Second
28.41.7
20.622.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End9.0
red by 4.5
4237
#22
23.90.6
18.718.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End8.8
Third
6100
#30
20.91.7
19.120.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.3
red by 1.2
5878
#31
19.70.6
14.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned