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Red124
277121.7
335749.3
608143.8
Blue98
508629.7
716036.0
728924.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11989608010014016018012498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.4
46.947.2
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
red by 13.3
7160
#25
36.00.2
34.735.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.4
End8.7
Second
43.80.4
41.441.8
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 14.1
5086
#28
29.70.2
28.528.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Third
2771
#19
21.70.4
19.319.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End5.8
blue by 3.2
7289
#12
24.90.2
23.723.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End6.3