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Red109
191836.6
205440.4
861217.4
Blue113
720228.3
779413.3
423723.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10462204080120140109113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.3
39.740.0
Auto9.0
Teleop24.8
End6.6
red by 12.1
7202
#10
28.30.3
27.728.0
Auto10.9
Teleop13.4
End3.9
Second
36.60.3
35.936.2
Auto13.0
Teleop16.3
End7.4
red by 12.7
4237
#22
23.90.4
23.323.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End8.8
Third
8612
#20
17.40.3
16.817.0
Auto7.4
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 4.1
13.30.3
12.713.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End4.5