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Red123
277121.7
335749.3
608143.8
Blue81
368832.0
360328.4
171124.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12087608010014016018012381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.3
47.247.5
Auto12.1
Teleop25.9
End11.3
red by 17.3
3688
#17
32.00.1
32.132.0
Auto8.6
Teleop17.4
End6.1
Second
43.80.3
41.842.1
Auto14.9
Teleop20.3
End8.6
red by 15.5
28.40.1
28.528.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End9.0
Third
2771
#19
21.70.3
19.620.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End5.8
blue by 3.2
1711
#15
24.90.1
25.125.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.2
End6.3