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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201401604789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
33.52.5
32.329.8
Auto7.4
Teleop18.4
End7.6
red by 2.4
2611
#13
31.12.0
25.327.3
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End5.8
Second
8297
#15
19.72.5
16.714.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
blue by 9.2
28.92.0
22.224.2
Auto11.4
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
5559
#38
10.12.5
20.217.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 15.7
9312
#19
25.82.0
13.115.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed