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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708520406010012014062100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.8
30.228.4
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
blue by 1.9
43.12.5
29.632.1
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Second
8423
#31
23.11.8
19.517.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End7.0
blue by 5.6
3322
#17
28.72.5
24.927.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End5.2
Third
5205
#37
15.61.8
18.216.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.1
End6.4
blue by 13.1
2834
#21
28.72.5
23.125.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned