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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746320408010012010434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.82.9
35.138.0
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 28.4
6150
#28
19.43.5
19.215.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End5.6
Second
9312
#19
25.82.9
15.218.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 8.0
1502
#23
17.93.5
25.121.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
5559
#38
10.12.9
17.820.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 1.3
7221
#36
11.43.5
16.412.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed