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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826520401001201408843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.4
25.026.4
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
blue by 1.9
31.52.3
19.717.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
7166
#12
27.01.4
29.530.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
red by 3.0
5084
#34
24.02.3
27.124.9
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End6.8
Third
7660
#24
24.71.4
20.722.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.5
End8.7
red by 7.7
9210
#16
17.02.3
16.514.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed