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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8767204060801001201409952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.92.2
30.432.6
Auto13.2
Teleop19.9
End7.8
red by 7.6
5676
#11
33.42.1
27.125.0
Auto8.3
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Second
2834
#21
28.72.2
26.528.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
red by 10.8
1502
#23
17.92.1
21.619.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
Third
5084
#34
24.02.2
22.624.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End6.8
red by 13.8
5559
#38
10.12.1
17.215.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed