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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045002040608012014016011466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.82.6
36.739.2
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 22.0
9312
#19
25.80.8
18.319.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Second
41.22.6
31.434.0
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
red by 17.0
6570
#26
24.10.8
19.420.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Third
7660
#24
24.72.6
22.725.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.5
End8.7
red by 5.0
8297
#15
19.70.8
16.116.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned