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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625702040801005032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#11
33.40.9
25.024.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.8
End8.2
red by 6.4
7166
#12
27.03.1
27.824.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.3
End6.5
Second
6556
#22
17.20.9
19.018.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End8.5
red by 3.2
9183
#33
13.93.1
11.68.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End6.5
Third
5205
#37
15.60.9
13.913.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.1
End6.4
red by 5.5
5559
#38
10.13.1
15.112.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed