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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001201405591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#21
28.70.6
28.628.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 8.5
37.21.2
33.034.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End8.1
Second
5144
#27
23.40.6
20.419.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
blue by 1.3
7660
#24
24.71.2
25.326.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.5
End8.7
Third
7221
#36
11.40.6
11.611.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 8.3
8297
#15
19.71.2
16.918.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned