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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857120406010012014011879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.24.5
34.038.4
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.5
red by 10.1
2611
#13
31.11.2
29.130.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.6
End5.8
Second
31.54.5
18.222.7
Auto10.1
Teleop16.3
End5.2
red by 3.3
28.21.2
25.826.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End6.0
Third
29.64.5
25.630.1
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End7.5
red by 9.7
8522
#32
19.91.2
13.614.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned