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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6144020801008139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#27
23.40.2
19.719.9
Auto8.5
Teleop9.5
End5.4
blue by 3.7
7501
#14DQ
27.21.0
19.518.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End7.6
Second
8297
#15
19.70.2
18.118.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End6.7
red by 8.0
8300
#30
11.80.9
11.610.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End7.8
Third
1502
#23
17.90.2
17.317.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.9
red by 7.7
5559
#38
10.10.9
12.011.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed