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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10080406012014011472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
47.82.4
39.341.7
Auto14.1
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 19.0
3322
#17
28.71.1
26.725.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.9
End5.2
Second
43.12.6
36.839.3
Auto16.3
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 14.9
28.21.1
26.925.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End6.0
Third
8522
#32
19.92.4
14.817.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End6.3
blue by 4.1
5084
#34
24.01.1
23.622.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed